Prices beating the market's fair value — hover a fair number for how it was built
A positive EV (expected value) bet is a price that pays more than the outcome's fair chance justifies. This positive EV bet finder removes the bookmaker's margin from the sharpest prices to estimate fair odds, then lists every sportsbook and exchange price that beats them, with the edge and a suggested stake. Any single bet can still lose.
TrueEdge reads prices from sportsbooks and exchanges and, for every market, builds a fair price by removing the margin from the sharpest books' prices. Any price that pays more than fair value is listed, ranked by the size of the edge.
Each row shows the book, the price, the fair price it was measured against, the edge, and a suggested stake — a fractional-Kelly fraction of the bankroll you set, capped at your own maximum.
Edges on exchanges are measured after the venue's fees, so a price that only looks good before commission is not listed as +EV.
The sharp market prices an over at -105 and the under at -105. With the margin removed, each side is 50% — a fair price of +100.
A soft book is offering the over at +115, which pays $2.15 back per $1 staked.
Expected value per $1: 0.50 × $2.15 − $1 = +$0.075, a 7.5% edge.
On a $100 bet the expected profit is $7.50. The bet still loses half the time; the edge shows up across many bets like it.
Looking for today's list? +EV bets today explains what is on it and shows a delayed snapshot.
Step by step: How to find positive EV bets, step by step.
Positive EV, explained — why a good bet can lose and still be right.
how to devig odds — the fair price every row is measured against.
which sportsbooks are sharp — the books the fair price is built from.
why sportsbooks limit +EV bettors — and how to keep accounts open longer.
Where the fair price comes from. An edge is only as good as the fair odds it is measured against. Check which books a finder treats as sharp and how it removes the margin. TrueEdge shows the fair price on every row, and on Live lets you choose the de-vig method.
Exchange fees. A Kalshi or Polymarket price that beats fair value before the trading fee can lose after it. TrueEdge measures exchange edges after each venue's fee, so a price is only listed as +EV if it still is once you pay to take it.
Books you can actually use. A +EV price at a sportsbook that is not licensed where you are is no use to you. TrueEdge filters the board to the books in the state you choose.
How much you can bet. An edge on a $20 limit is worth less than the same edge on $2,000. TrueEdge shows the maximum stake beside a price where the book or exchange reports one.
Price, and a way to try it. Compare what the +EV feed itself costs, not the entry plan: some tools only include it on a higher tier. TrueEdge has a free delayed preview with no account and a 7-day free trial of the live board.
Compared side by side: TrueEdge vs OddsJam · Unabated alternative for +EV and arbitrage · Outlier alternative for +EV and low hold.
A tool that compares every sportsbook's price with an estimate of the fair odds, built by removing the margin from the sharpest prices, and lists the bets that pay more than fair. TrueEdge's includes prediction-market exchanges, priced after their fees.
Yes. Placing bets at licensed sportsbooks in a state where sports betting is legal is legal, and so is using a tool to compare their prices. Sportsbooks may still limit how much a winning customer can bet. For 21+ where legal.
Often, yes. Books profile accounts that consistently beat their prices and may cut maximum stakes. Exchanges such as Kalshi and Polymarket do not limit winning traders the same way, which is one reason TrueEdge includes them.
By removing the bookmaker's margin from the sharpest prices in the market. On Live you can choose the de-vig method — multiplicative, additive, power or Shin — and whether to anchor to one sharp book or a consensus.
Because a positive edge is an average over many bets, not a prediction about one. A 5% edge at even money still loses about half the time. Judge +EV betting over hundreds of bets and against the closing line.
A small, consistent fraction of your bankroll. TrueEdge suggests a fractional-Kelly stake from your bankroll and risk settings, never more than the cap you set.
Yes: +EV bets today shows a delayed preview of the list free, with no account. The live finder, updated as prices move, comes with the 7-day free trial.