Hold Calculator

Paste the prices for every outcome of a market and get the hold — the share the book keeps — along with the no-vig fair price behind each one. Works for two-way markets and for three-way ones like soccer.

Work out the hold

Outcome 1
Outcome 2

What hold actually is

Every price implies a probability. Decimal odds of 2.00 imply 50%; American odds of −110 imply 52.4%. Add up the implied probability of every outcome of a real market and you get more than 100% — and you should, because the excess is how the book gets paid. That excess is the hold.

Worked example
A game priced −110 either way. Each side implies 110 ÷ 210 = 52.38%. The two add to 104.76%, so the hold is 4.76% — bet both sides in proportion and you lose 4.76% of your stake on average, whoever wins. Take the margin back out and both sides are 50%, a fair price of +100.

Lower hold is strictly better for you: it is the headwind every bet at that book runs into before skill matters at all. It is also how you compare books honestly — a book with a flashy price on one side and a terrible one on the other is not a cheap book, and the hold is the number that says so.

If the prices you paste come from different books, the total can land under 100%. That is a negative hold, and it means backing every outcome guarantees a profit — an arbitrage. No single book prices itself into one; it only appears when two books disagree.

Where to go next

Hold, definedThe one-paragraph definition in the glossary.
TrueEdge

TrueEdge finds and prices betting opportunities. It does not place bets, hold funds, or guarantee a result — every figure on this site is an estimate. 21+ where your state requires it, and only where betting is legal. If gambling stops being something you control, the National Problem Gambling Helpline is 1-800-522-4700, free and confidential, 24/7.