No-Vig Calculator

Paste the prices for every outcome of a market and get the hold — the share the book keeps — along with the no-vig fair price behind each one. Works for two-way markets and for three-way ones like soccer.

Work out the hold

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This calculator prices one market at a time. TrueEdge prices every market across US sportsbooks and exchanges, devigs them, and lists the low-hold pairings and +EV bets as they appear.

What hold actually is

Every price implies a probability. Decimal odds of 2.00 imply 50%; American odds of −110 imply 52.4%. Add up the implied probability of every outcome of a real market and you get more than 100% — and you should, because the excess is how the book gets paid. That excess is the hold.

Worked example
A game priced −110 either way. Each side implies 110 ÷ 210 = 52.38%. The two add to 104.76%, so the hold is 4.76%. Bet both sides in proportion — $110 on each — and whichever side wins pays back $210 of your $220: you lose 4.55% of what you staked (1 − 1 ÷ 1.0476). The two figures differ because the hold is measured against the implied total and the loss against your stake. Take the margin back out and both sides are 50%, a fair price of +100.

Lower hold is strictly better for you: it is the headwind every bet at that book runs into before skill matters at all. It is also how you compare books honestly — a book with a flashy price on one side and a terrible one on the other is not a cheap book, and the hold is the number that says so.

If the prices you paste come from different books, the total can land under 100%. That is a negative hold, and it means backing every outcome locks in a profit — an arbitrage. No single book prices itself into one; it only appears when two books disagree.

Hold calculator questions

What is a good hold percentage?

The lower the better. A standard −110 / −110 market holds 4.76%. Under 2% is low for a two-way market and under 1% is very low — the pairs the low hold bet finder ranks first, usually with the best price on each side at a different book. Below 0% is an arbitrage.

Hold vs vig: is there a difference?

Not in a market's prices. Hold, vig (vigorish) and juice all name the margin built into a book's odds: how far the implied probabilities of every outcome add up past 100%. "Hold" is also used for the share of all money wagered that a sportsbook reports keeping as revenue, which is a different figure that includes the results of the games.

How do you calculate hold on a 3-way market?

Exactly as on a two-way market, with one term per outcome: convert each price to an implied probability and add all three. Home +150, draw +240 and away +190 imply 40.00%, 29.41% and 34.48%, which add to 103.89%, a 3.89% hold. Leave out the draw and the two sides add to only 74.48%, which looks like an arbitrage and is not.

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